Thursday, October 17, 2013

US Government Shutdowns: What Works?

Copyright 2013 J. Lee Lehman

In my last post, I discussed a common model for timing the general length of events astrologically, by looking at the quadruplicity of the Ascendant. This idea is used in mundane astrology, for example, in timing whether an Aries Ingress in a particular location will last 3 months, 6 months, or an entire year.* In examining the history of government shutdowns, this method does not appear to apply.

I had presented a table showing the dates of all prior government shutdowns. I had also mentioned that we should be aware of an important demarcation between the pre-1980 shutdowns and the later ones: the earlier ones had few consequences, because very little in the government shut down.

What changes was a decision that a shutdown is, well, a shutdown, and so the later one resulted in an actual change in government-as-usual. Thus, it is a long shutdown after 1980 that has potential political consequences, whereas the earlier ones were seen as merely technicalities.

Here, I examine a different situation. As has been repeated many times in the last few weeks, it is Congress, not the President, which is responsible for a shutdown, because it is Congress that must pass a budget. In a mundane chart, the legislative body is the 11th house, so it seems appropriate to consider factors relating to the 11th house. There are presented in the following table, where I have distinguished the petty from the more serious shutdowns by placing the data in blue and red.



Date
Length in Days
Angular malefics
11th House sign
Cond Ruler 11th
In 11th
House 11th Ruler
1 Oct 1976
10
Ma, Pl
Ari
Detr
Ju, SN
4th
1 Oct 1977
12
Ma, Pl, SN
Ari
Fall
Mo
1st
1 Nov 1977
8
Ur, Sa
Gem
Pere
Mo, Ju
4th
1 Dec 1977
8
Ne
Can
Pere
Mo, Ma
11th
1 Oct 1978
18
SN, Pl
Ari
Ruler
5th
1 Oct 1979
11
Sa
Ari
Pere
2nd
21 Nov 1981
2
Ur, Ne
Can
Trip
NN
2nd
1 Oct 1982
1
Sa, Pl, SN
Ari
Per
6th
18 Dec 1982
3
Ne, SN
Leo
Trip
PF
4th
11 Nov 1983
3
Ur, SN, Ne
Gem
Term
4th
1 Oct 1984
2
--
Ari
Term
NN
6th
4 Oct 1984
1
--
Tau
Det/Trip
NN
5th
17 Oct 1986
1
Sn, Pl, Ma
Tau
Det/Trip/Ret
5th
19 Dec 1987
1
Ur, Ne, SN
Leo
Trip
4th
6 Oct 1990
3
Sa, Ne
Tau
Ruler
Mo
4th
14 Nov 1995
5
Ma, Sa
Can
Pere
4th
6 Dec 1996
21
Ma, Sa, SN
Can
Pere
2nd
1 Oct 2013
16
Ur, Pl
Ari
Face
SN
2nd

The two really serious government shutdowns are the last two: the 1996 and the 2013. Although they have different 11th house rulers, they share two features: a weak 11th house ruler which was posited in the 2nd house for the beginning of the shutdown.

This is actually interesting. There have been four shutdowns in which the ruler of the 11th was in the 2nd, and three of those four were long shutdowns. That's interesting by itself.

But the weak quality of the 11th house ruler is also interesting. The absence of essential dignity may be described as vacillating, or engaged in what we might call a random walk if it's peregrine, as it was for both of the shutdowns of 1995-1996. But the shutdown this time has dignity by Face, the weakest of the essential dignities. In my book, Essential Dignities, I discuss how Face often seems correlated with a serious of negative states, like anxiety and Fear. The process is being driven by negative emotion, rather than actual progressive ideals. It was certainly interesting that the resolution of the crisis did not occur until Mars had moved out of Face and into Virgo, a sign where it has Triplicity.

While it would be helpful to have more data points, there is at least a suggestion of an idea for what characterized this shutdown. But personally, I'd rather avoid any more examples very soon!



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* For further information on this use of the quadruplicity with these charts, see my book, Astrology of Sustainability.

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